Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of Friday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for October 31, 2025, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Friday, October 31, 2025, are live—with Zion Williamson of the Pelicans the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Friday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [October 31, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Zion Williamson, with a probability of 17.9%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)
17.9%
Ja Morant (Grizzlies)
16.6%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)
16.4%
Devin Booker (Suns)
14.7%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
14.3%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
13.9%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)
13.7%
Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers)
13.6%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)
13.5%
Joel Embiid (76ers)
13.0%
Following Williamson closely are Ja Morant at 16.6% and Jalen Brunson at 16.4%.
Devin Booker and Jaylen Brown are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Zion Williamson is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket on Friday, October 31, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [10/31/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our trusted predictive analytics model has discovered the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate in the game between the Raptors and Cavaliers. The bet is on Scottie Barnes (TOR) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.4% according to our analysis.
Dimers' model not only showcases Barnes for him 3.4% betting edge but also ranks him among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the preceding list.
For October 31, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions showcase star players like Zion Williamson, Ja Morant and Jalen Brunson—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Scottie Barnes who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 3.4% edge at +950 odds.
These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
