Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for November 14, 2025, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Friday, November 14, 2025, are live—with Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Bucks the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Friday's first basket predictions pull from our proprietary NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [November 14, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 19.8%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
19.8%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)
15.5%
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers)
14.5%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)
14.2%
Luka Doncic (Lakers)
14.0%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)
13.8%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
13.3%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
13.1%
Zach LaVine (Kings)
13.0%
Jalen Duren (Pistons)
12.7%
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
12.6%
Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans)
12.6%
Norman Powell (Heat)
12.6%
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
12.5%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks)
12.5%
Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers)
12.5%
Franz Wagner (Magic)
12.2%
Ivica Zubac (Clippers)
12.2%
Andrew Wiggins (Heat)
12.2%
Deandre Ayton (Lakers)
12.1%
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)
12.0%
Nic Claxton (Nets)
11.8%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)
11.8%
James Harden (Clippers)
11.6%
DeMar DeRozan (Kings)
11.6%
Ryan Rollins (Bucks)
11.5%
Saddiq Bey (Pelicans)
11.5%
Jalen Suggs (Magic)
11.5%
OG Anunoby (Knicks)
11.4%
Desmond Bane (Magic)
11.2%
Amen Thompson (Rockets)
10.9%
Austin Reaves (Lakers)
10.8%
Mikal Bridges (Knicks)
10.7%
John Collins (Clippers)
10.5%
Following Antetokounmpo closely are Stephen Curry at 15.5% and Shaedon Sharpe at 14.5%.
Cade Cunningham and Luka Doncic also feature, with the full list of first basket projections for Friday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Stephen Curry is among the top contenders in the NBA to score the first basket on Friday, November 14, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [11/14/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Friday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Trail Blazers and Rockets. The bet is on Amen Thompson (HOU) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.6% according to our analysis.
Although Thompson doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Friday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those searching for an edge on the market.
For November 14, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions spotlight standout players like Giannis Antetokounmpo, Stephen Curry and Shaedon Sharpe—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Amen Thompson who emerges as the top play, offering a calculated 2.6% edge at +1100 odds.
These projections are the result of 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
