Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of Monday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for November 3, 2025, are based on Monday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Monday, November 3, 2025, are live—with Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Bucks the most likely player to score the first basket based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Monday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket chances, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [November 3, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 18.3%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
18.3%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
15.6%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)
15.3%
Julius Randle (Timberwolves)
15.3%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)
15.2%
Ja Morant (Grizzlies)
14.5%
Kevin Durant (Rockets)
14.5%
Cam Thomas (Nets)
14.3%
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)
14.3%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)
14.1%
Following Antetokounmpo closely are Jaylen Brown at 15.6% and Jalen Brunson at 15.3%.
Julius Randle and Lauri Markkanen are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Monday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Jaylen Brown is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket on Monday, November 3, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [11/3/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Monday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate in the game between the Kings and Nuggets. The bet is on Zach LaVine (SAC) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.1% according to our analysis.
Although LaVine doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Monday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those looking for an edge on the market.
For November 3, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions highlight standout players including Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jaylen Brown and Jalen Brunson—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Zach LaVine who emerges as the top play, producing a calculated 3.1% edge at +900 odds.
These projections are the result of 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable basis for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
