Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of Monday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for November 10, 2025, are based on Monday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Monday, November 10, 2025, have landed—with Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Bucks the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Monday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [November 10, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 19.1%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)
19.1%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz)
15.6%
Collin Sexton (Hornets)
15.3%
Jalen Duren (Pistons)
14.8%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)
14.7%
Alex Sarr (Wizards)
14.5%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)
14.1%
Devin Booker (Suns)
14.0%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)
13.9%
Jalen Johnson (Hawks)
13.6%
Following Antetokounmpo closely are Lauri Markkanen at 15.6% and Collin Sexton at 15.3%.
Jalen Duren and Cade Cunningham are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Monday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket on Monday, November 10, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [11/10/2025]
After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Monday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate in the game between the Trail Blazers and Magic. The bet is on Shaedon Sharpe (POR) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.5% according to our analysis.
Not only does Sharpe present an edge according to the model, but he is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
For November 10, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions feature standout players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Lauri Markkanen and Collin Sexton—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Shaedon Sharpe who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 1.5% edge at +750 odds.
These projections are built from 10,000 simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
