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Nevada vs. Utah State prediction: Utah State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Nevada vs Utah State predictions for college basketball Friday.
Utah State will face Nevada in men's college basketball action at Thomas & Mack Center on Friday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Utah State as the most likely winner of the Nevada vs. Utah State game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Nevada vs. Utah State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball game between Nevada and Utah State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Utah State a 75% chance of defeating Nevada. Our predicted final score has Utah State winning 77-70.
According to our model, Utah State (-6.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Nevada vs. Utah State odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Nevada | Utah State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +230 | -275 |
| Total | o145.5 (-105) | u145.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nevada vs. Utah State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Utah State -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Utah State | -275 |
| Total | Over 145.5 | -105 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 145.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nevada vs. Utah State game-day updates and essential details
Friday's men's college basketball matchup between Utah State and Nevada at Thomas & Mack Center is scheduled to commence at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Nevada vs. Utah State
- Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Thomas & Mack Center
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Conclusion
We predict Utah State, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Nevada on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Nevada vs. Utah State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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