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New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens updated prediction featuring TreVeyon Henderson, Derrick Henry [Week 16, 2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get new expert Patriots vs Ravens predictions for Sunday's game.
Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots in Week 16, with our model giving the Ravens a 58% of winning.
As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. Some lineup calls are still undecided, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC showdown.
Since our early Ravens-Patriots predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for TreVeyon Henderson, Derrick Henry, and others.
For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—check out our Patriots vs. Ravens page.
What's changed? New England vs. Baltimore updated predictions
Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Patriots vs. Ravens matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:
- Straight Up Win Probabilities: Patriots 42%, Ravens 58%
- Predicted Final Score: Patriots 22-24 Ravens
- Spread: Patriots (+2.5) 50%, Ravens (-2.5) 50%
- Total Points (48.5): Over 47%, Under 53%
As of December 18, 2025, these Patriots-Ravens calculations reflect changes since our early-week simulation.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New NFL player projections for Week 16 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Patriots-Ravens on Sunday:
New England Patriots
- TreVeyon Henderson: 42.6% probability
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 28.9% probability
- Hunter Henry: 27.9% probability
Baltimore Ravens
- Derrick Henry: 56.3% probability
- Mark Andrews: 37.2% probability
- Zay Flowers: 32.7% probability
Patriots vs. Ravens latest odds
The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:
- Spread: Patriots +2.5 (+100), Ravens -2.5 (-122)
- Moneyline: Patriots +136, Ravens -150
- Total: Over/Under 48.5 (-105/-115)
Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.
Patriots vs. Ravens Week 16 details
The NFL Week 16 action between the Ravens and Patriots at M&T Bank Stadium is scheduled for December 21, 2025.
- Who: New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 8:20 PM ET/5:20PM PT
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Ravens, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.
Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Patriots vs. Ravens matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NFL
Stay up-to-date with the latest NFL news and data-led parlay picks all season long. Plus, our Super Bowl odds for top predictions and the best available odds on the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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