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Jets vs. Jaguars prediction: Jacksonville favored to win in NFL Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Jets vs Jacksonville Jaguars predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the New York Jets in NFL Week 15 action at EverBank Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Jaguars as the most likely winner of the Jets vs. Jaguars game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Jets vs. Jaguars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Jets-Jaguars predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Jets and Jaguars 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Jaguars a 90% chance of beating the Jets in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Jaguars winning 26-14.
According to our model, the Jets (+13.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 40.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Jets vs. Jaguars odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jets | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +13.5 (-102) | -13.5 (-120) |
| Moneyline | +750 | -1000 |
| Total | o40.5 (-108) | u40.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jets vs. Jaguars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets +13.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | -1000 |
| Total | Over 40.5 | -108 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Jets +13.5 at the spread.
Jets vs. Jaguars TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Jets vs. Jaguars?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15, Travis Etienne is most likely to score an anytime TD in Jets vs. Jaguars.
Our projections give Etienne a 54.6% chance of scoring a TD at EverBank Stadium, while the running back is a 16.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
New York Jets
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 32.9% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 21.1% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 21.0% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 16.5% |
| Jeremy Ruckert (TE) | 13.9% |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne (RB) | 54.6% |
| Jakobi Meyers (WR) | 32.3% |
| Brian Thomas (WR) | 28.8% |
| Trevor Lawrence (QB) | 26.3% |
| Bhayshul Tuten (RB) | 25.5% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
New York Jets
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall (RB) | 7.5% |
| Adonai Mitchell (WR) | 4.5% |
| John Metchie (WR) | 4.4% |
| Isaiah Davis (RB) | 3.4% |
| Jeremy Ruckert (TE) | 2.8% |
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne (RB) | 16.4% |
| Jakobi Meyers (WR) | 8.1% |
| Brian Thomas (WR) | 7.0% |
| Trevor Lawrence (QB) | 6.3% |
| Bhayshul Tuten (RB) | 6.1% |
Jets vs Jaguars player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Jets and Jaguars. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jets' Brady Cook is projected to have a quiet game with 170 passing yards, while the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 222 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| Brady Cook (NYJ) | 170 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAX) | 222 |
Jets rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Breece Hall | 67 |
| Isaiah Davis | 18 |
| Brady Cook | 13 |
Jaguars rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Travis Etienne | 74 |
| Bhayshul Tuten | 26 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 17 |
Jets receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Adonai Mitchell | 46 |
| John Metchie | 42 |
| Jeremy Ruckert | 25 |
| Breece Hall | 17 |
| Isaiah Williams | 17 |
Jaguars receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 58 |
| Brian Thomas | 48 |
| Brenton Strange | 41 |
| Parker Washington | 34 |
| Travis Etienne | 16 |
Jets vs. Jaguars game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Jaguars and Jets at EverBank Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: EverBank Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Jaguars, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat the Jets in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Jaguars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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