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Mets vs. Cubs prediction: Why Cubs are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [4/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Chicago Cubs will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Wrigley Field on Sunday, beginning at 2:20 PM ET.
The Cubs will have Javier Assad (1-1, 8.10 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Tobias Myers (0-1, 3.46 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Cubs as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Cubs game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cubs a 55% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of eight runs has a 51% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Cubs odds [4/19/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Cubs |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-176) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +120 | -140 |
| Total | o8 (-110) | u8 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Cubs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -176 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +120 |
| Total | Over 8 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Cubs and Mets at Wrigley Field is scheduled to commence at 2:20 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
- Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026
- Time: 2:20 PM ET/11:20AM PT
- Venue: Wrigley Field
Conclusion
We predict the Cubs, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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