Iran vs. New Zealand prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Iran and New Zealand, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 55.3% chance of Iran winning, an 18.9% chance for New Zealand, and a 25.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59.4% chance of staying under, with a 57.8% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Iran holds a 36.2% probability to win without conceding, with New Zealand at 11.6%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is Iran to win or draw at 81.1%.

New Zealand vs. Iran odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Iran	New Zealand	Draw
-120	+400	+250

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+150	-170

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Iran vs. New Zealand picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iran @ -120 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +150 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Iran @ +160 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iran or New Zealand @ -330 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -140 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Iran to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge provided on Iran's odds also provide the best value for bettors.

Iran vs. New Zealand: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Iran win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Iran 1-0 New Zealand	15.3%
Iran 1-1 New Zealand	11.8%
Iran 2-0 New Zealand	11.7%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 42.2% chance of both sides finding the net and a 57.8% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Iran vs. New Zealand player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Iran-New Zealand:

Iran

• Mehdi Taremi: 26.2% probability
• Mehdi Ghayedi: 18.9% probability
• Mohammad Mohebi: 18.8% probability
• Amirhossein Hosseinzadeh: 17.6% probability
• Saman Ghoddos: 8.8% probability

New Zealand

• Chris Wood: 17.0% probability
• Jesse Randall: 11.7% probability
• Elijah Just: 9.4% probability
• Sarpreet Singh: 8.4% probability
• Liberato Cacace: 5.1% probability

Iran vs. New Zealand game-day updates and essential details

Monday's soccer World Cup action between Iran and New Zealand at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Iran vs. New Zealand
• Date: Monday, June 15, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: SoFi Stadium

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Iran has a 55.3% win probability on Monday, New Zealand has an 18.9% win probability, and there is a 25.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.