NFL best bets today: Week 15 picks include Ravens vs. Bengals play [12/14/2025]

Bengals +2.5 (+100)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Ravens vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Bengals +2.5 at +100 odds. A 58.2% probability produces an edge of 8.2%, making this the strongest play for today's NFL slate.

Commanders +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Commanders vs. Giants (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Commanders +2.5 carries a 7.0% edge and a probability of 58.2% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Packers ML (-118)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Matchup: Packers vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)

Packers ML at -118 odds shows a 4.6% edge, supported by a 58.7% probability in simulations.

Colts +13.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.6% edge and 54.1% probability make Colts +13.5 vs. Seahawks at a value play in the Colts vs. Seahawks matchup, per our model.

Browns +7.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Browns vs. Bears (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Browns +7.5 at -110 odds presents a 3.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.8%.

Bills vs. Patriots under 48.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Bills vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on under 48.5 points in Bills vs. Patriots at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 3.4%.

Jets +13.5 (-102)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Matchup: Jets vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET, Sunday) Our model has uncovered value on Jets +13.5 at -102 odds. A 53.4% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's NFL action.

Packers vs. Broncos under 42.5 points (-104)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Packers vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)

A 2.8% edge on a 53.7% probability makes under 42.5 points at -104 odds a solid value play in today's Packers vs. Broncos matchup.

Bengals ML (+140)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 44.4%
• Matchup: Ravens vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model projects value on Bengals to win at +140 odds. A 44.4% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making Bengals the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

NFL best bets summary: Sunday, 12/14/2025

As of 9:32AM ET, here are our top NFL bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Ravens vs. Bengals	Bengals +2.5	+100 @ DraftKings	8.2%	58.2%
Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders +2.5	-105 @ BetMGM	7.0%	58.2%
Packers vs. Broncos	Packers ML	-118 @ FanDuel	4.6%	58.7%
Colts vs. Seahawks	Colts +13.5	-102 @ FanDuel	3.6%	54.1%
Browns vs. Bears	Browns +7.5	-110 @ BetMGM	3.4%	55.8%
Bills vs. Patriots	Under 48.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	3.4%	54.6%
Jets vs. Jaguars	Jets +13.5	-102 @ FanDuel	2.9%	53.4%
Packers vs. Broncos	Under 42.5 Points	-104 @ FanDuel	2.8%	53.7%
Ravens vs. Bengals	Bengals ML	+140 @ BetMGM	2.7%	44.4%

List of upcoming NFL games to bet on [12/14/2025]

• Commanders vs. Giants (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Raiders vs. Eagles (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Browns vs. Bears (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Ravens vs. Bengals (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Cardinals vs. Texans (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bills vs. Patriots (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Jets vs. Jaguars (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Chargers vs. Chiefs (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Titans vs. 49ers (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Packers vs. Broncos (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Panthers vs. Saints (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Lions vs. Rams (4:25PM ET, Sunday)
• Vikings vs. Cowboys (8:20PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NFL best bets are locked and loaded for December 14, 2025, featuring plays such as Bengals +2.5 and Commanders +2.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NFL insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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