NFL best bets today: Black Friday picks include Chiefs vs. Cowboys play [11/27/2025]

Today’s NFL picks for Black Friday are here, with Chiefs vs. Cowboys and Bengals vs. Ravens among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s NFL schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest football odds to uncover legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of NFL best bets today [11/27, updated 4:33AM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best football bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, November 27, 2025.

Cowboys +3 (-102)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Chiefs vs. Cowboys (4:30PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Cowboys +3 at -102 odds. A 56.5% probability produces an edge of 6.0%, making this the strongest play for today's NFL slate.

Bengals ML (+310)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 29%
• Matchup: Bengals vs. Ravens (8:20PM ET, Thursday)

Bengals ML carries a 4.7% edge and a probability of 29% at +310 odds, according to our model.

Bengals +7 (+100)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Bengals vs. Ravens (8:20PM ET, Thursday)

Bengals +7 vs. Ravens at +100 odds shows a 4.2% edge, supported by a 54.2% probability in simulations.

Cowboys ML (+165)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 41%
• Matchup: Chiefs vs. Cowboys (4:30PM ET, Thursday)

A 3.3% edge and 41% probability make Cowboys at the moneyline at a value play in the Chiefs vs. Cowboys matchup, per our model.

Bengals vs. Ravens under 51.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Bengals vs. Ravens (8:20PM ET, Thursday)

Bengals vs. Ravens under 51.5 points at -105 odds presents a 3.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.2%.

Bears +7 (-108)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 54.2%
• Matchup: Bears vs. Eagles (3:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Bears +7 at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 2.3%.

NFL best bets summary: Thursday, 11/27/2025

As of 4:33AM ET, here are our top NFL bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Chiefs vs. Cowboys	Cowboys +3	-102 @ BetMGM	6.0%	56.5%
Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals ML	+310 @ BetMGM	4.7%	29%
Bengals vs. Ravens	Bengals +7	+100 @ BetMGM	4.2%	54.2%
Chiefs vs. Cowboys	Cowboys ML	+165 @ BetMGM	3.3%	41%
Bengals vs. Ravens	Under 51.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	3.0%	54.2%
Bears vs. Eagles	Bears +7	-108 @ DraftKings	2.3%	54.2%

List of upcoming NFL games to bet on [11/27/2025]

• Chiefs vs. Cowboys (4:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Bengals vs. Ravens (8:20PM ET, Thursday)
• Bears vs. Eagles (3:00PM ET, Friday)

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Conclusion

Our NFL best bets are locked and loaded for November 27, 2025, featuring plays such as Cowboys +3 and Bengals ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NFL insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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