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NFL player props today: Week 15's best props include Tutu Atwell [12/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NFL player props today with projections for Sunday's Week 15 games.
Dimers' NFL props are live for December 14, 2025, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Tutu Atwell, Philip Rivers and Jordan Mason.
Our NFL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Browns vs. Bears and Ravens vs. Bengals, to surface the best NFL player prop bets across the market.
List of NFL prop bets for Week 15
Sourced from 250+ total props today, below are the top ten NFL player props for December 14, ranked by edge.
Tutu Atwell under 0.5 receptions (+100)
- Edge: 18.4%
- Probability: 68.4%
- Projection: 0.4
- Game: Lions vs. Rams (4:25PM ET)
Our model has found value on LA Rams' Tutu Atwell under 0.5 receptions. A probability of 68.4% gives this play an edge of 18.4% at +100 odds.
Philip Rivers over 0.5 rushing attempts (-130)
- Edge: 15.9%
- Probability: 72.5%
- Game: Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)
Philip Rivers’s rushing attempts prop shows a 72.5% probability and an 15.9% edge at -130 odds, according to our model.
Philip Rivers over 0.5 passing touchdowns (+116)
- Edge: 14.9%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Game: Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)
The data highlights value on Philip Rivers over 0.5 passing touchdowns, with simulations showing a 61.2% probability and a 14.9% edge at +116.
Philip Rivers over 0.5 rushing yards (+198)
- Edge: 13.3%
- Probability: 46.9%
- Projection: 2.7
- Game: Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)
Our model projects Philip Rivers to record 2.7 rushing yards today, creating an edge of 13.3% on the over 0.5 line at +198 odds.
Jordan Mason over 0.5 receiving yards (+135)
- Edge: 12.6%
- Probability: 55.2%
- Projection: 4.9
- Game: Vikings vs. Cowboys (8:20PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Jordan Mason over 0.5 receiving yards for Minnesota, showing an edge of 12.6% at +135 odds.
Xavier Smith over 0.5 receptions (-135)
- Edge: 12.4%
- Probability: 69.8%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Lions vs. Rams (4:25PM ET)
Xavier Smith’s receptions prop shows an edge of 12.4% at -135 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 today.
KaVontae Turpin over 1.5 receptions (+160)
- Edge: 10.8%
- Probability: 49.3%
- Projection: 1.7
- Game: Vikings vs. Cowboys (8:20PM ET)
Our model projects KaVontae Turpin for 1.7 receptions for Dallas, creating an edge of 10.8% on over 1.5 at +160 odds.
Rico Dowdle under 14.5 rushing attempts (-130)
- Edge: 10.7%
- Probability: 67.2%
- Game: Panthers vs. Saints (4:25PM ET)
The data shows value on Rico Dowdle under 14.5 rushing attempts, supported by a 67.2% probability at -130 odds and an edge of 10.7%.
Brian Robinson Jr. under 14.5 rushing attempts (-140)
- Edge: 10.5%
- Probability: 68.8%
- Game: Titans vs. 49ers (4:25PM ET)
A 10.5% edge on the under 14.5 rushing attempts line makes Brian Robinson Jr. a value play in Titans vs. 49ers, supported by a 68.8% probability at -140 odds.
Zach Charbonnet over 10.5 rushing attempts (-116)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 63.6%
- Game: Colts vs. Seahawks (4:25PM ET)
Simulations show value on Zach Charbonnet over 10.5 rushing attempts here, with a 63.6% probability and 9.9% edge at -116 odds.
NFL player prop summary: Week 15, 2025
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 3:57PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Rams | Tutu Atwell under 0.5 receptions | +100 @ BetMGM | 18.4% | 68.4% |
| Colts vs. Seahawks | Philip Rivers over 0.5 rushing attempts | -130 @ BetMGM | 15.9% | 72.5% |
| Colts vs. Seahawks | Philip Rivers over 0.5 passing touchdowns | +116 @ FanDuel | 13.3% | 46.9% |
| Colts vs. Seahawks | Philip Rivers over 0.5 rushing yards | +198 @ FanDuel | 13.3% | 46.9% |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | Jordan Mason over 0.5 receiving yards | +135 @ BetMGM | 12.6% | 55.2% |
| Lions vs. Rams | Xavier Smith over 0.5 receptions | -135 @ BetMGM | 12.4% | 69.8% |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys | KaVontae Turpin over 1.5 receptions | +160 @ BetMGM | 10.8% | 49.3% |
| Panthers vs. Saints | Rico Dowdle under 14.5 rushing attempts | -130 @ BetMGM | 10.7% | 67.2% |
| Titans vs. 49ers | Brian Robinson Jr. under 14.5 rushing attempts | -140 @ BetMGM | 10.5% | 68.8% |
| Colts vs. Seahawks | Zach Charbonnet over 10.5 rushing attempts | -116 @ DraftKings | 9.9% | 63.6% |
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Conclusion
For December 14, 2025, our NFL prop bets feature players such as Tutu Atwell, Philip Rivers and Jordan Mason. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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