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Adelaide Crows vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos prediction: Why Crows are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 10 matchup [5/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos predictions for AFL Friday.
The Adelaide Crows will square off with the North Melbourne Kangaroos in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Adelaide Oval on Friday, starting at 11:15 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Crows as the most likely winner of the Kangaroos vs. Crows game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Crows vs. Kangaroos prediction: Who will win Round 10 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Kangaroos and Crows, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Crows a 70% chance of defeating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Crows (-15.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
North Melbourne vs. Adelaide odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kangaroos | Crows |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +195 | -256 |
| Line (Spread) | +15.5 (-115) | -15.5 (-115) |
| Total | o176.5 (-115) | u176.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kangaroos vs. Crows picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Crows -15.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Crows | -256 |
| Total | Under 176.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Crows vs. Kangaroos game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football action between the Crows and Kangaroos at Adelaide Oval is scheduled to begin at 11:15 PM ET.
- Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Adelaide Crows
- Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
- Time: 11:15 PM ET/8:15PM PT
- Venue: Adelaide Oval
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Crows, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media brands.
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