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Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State prediction: Why Mississippi State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Ole Miss vs Mississippi State predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Mississippi State and Ole Miss will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Mississippi State as the most likely winner of the Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NCAA basketball game between Ole Miss and Mississippi State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Mississippi State a 66% chance of defeating Ole Miss. Our predicted final score has Mississippi State winning 78-74.
According to our model, Mississippi State (-3.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 148.5 points has a 55% chance of going over.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Ole Miss | Mississippi State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-102) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -184 |
| Total | o148.5 (-110) | u148.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mississippi State -3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mississippi State | -184 |
| Total | Over 148.5 | -110 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mississippi State -3.5 at the spread.
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball action between Mississippi State and Ole Miss at Humphrey Coliseum is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict Mississippi State, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Ole Miss on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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