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Parlay these Bills vs. Falcons player props at +390 odds for Monday Night Football
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Reviewed by Nick Slade
With two Monday night games to end Week 6 NFL action, we're latching our Primetime Parlay on the Bills and the Falcons.
With two Monday night games to end Week 6 NFL action, we're latching our Primetime Parlay on tonight's Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons matchup on October 13, 2025.
This is our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.
To close out NFL Sunday, we're using our model's Monday Night Football predictions to build a +390 Same game parlay over on bet365, where new users can also claim a $200 bonus using the bet365 bonus code DIMERS.
+390 Bills vs. Falcons NFL Same Game Parlay Picks
After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Bills vs. Falcons on Monday Night Football, October 13.
| Player | Prop | Dimers Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen (Bills) | Over 33.5 Rush Yards | 37 Rush Yards |
| James Cook (Bills) | Anytime TD Scorer | 57% Probability |
| Bijan Robinson (Falcons) | Anytime TD Scorer | 55.9% Probability |
MORE: Bills vs. Falcons MNF Full Game Betting Preview
Leg 1: Josh Allen Over 33.5 Rush Yards
If you haven’t been paying attention to the Atlanta defense this season, you might be surprised to learn they’ve been elite against the pass. The Falcons lead the NFL in fewest opponent passing yards, attempts, completions, and total passing yards allowed (right behind them in all those categories? The Bills)
That could make life difficult for Josh Allen through the air—but luckily, the reigning MVP is one of the league’s best rushing quarterbacks. When faced with a tough pass defense, Allen isn’t afraid to use his legs. He’s topped this rushing line in three of five games so far this season, and the Dimers model projects more of the same, forecasting 37 rushing yards for Allen in this matchup.
Leg 2: James Cook Anytime Touchdown
James Cook disappointed bettors in Week 5 against the Patriots, finishing with just 49 rushing yards and no touchdowns — snapping a streak of eight straight regular-season games with a score.
While Atlanta’s defense has been tough on running backs this year — allowing the third-fewest touchdowns to the position — Cook remains poised to bounce back. With Buffalo likely to lean more on the ground game to counter the Falcons’ elite pass defense, Cook should have plenty of opportunities to find the end zone.
The Dimers model ranks him as the most likely touchdown scorer in this matchup, with a 57% probability of scoring.
MORE: The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast
Leg 3: Bijan Robinson Anytime Touchdown
Rounding out our primetime parlay is Bijan Robinson, with our touchdown predictor giving the dynamic Atlanta running back a 55.9% chance to score for the second straight week.
One of Buffalo’s few defensive weaknesses this season has been stopping opposing running backs — the Bills rank 29th in the NFL for touchdowns allowed to the position. With both teams expected to rely on the run to move the ball and finish drives, Robinson is well-positioned to capitalize. When it comes to finding the end zone on the ground, Bijan is as elite as they come.
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To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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