...
...
Read Article
Parlay these Chiefs vs. Jaguars player props at +585 odds for Monday Night Football
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Week 5 action draws to a close in Duval County with a Monday Night Football battle for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars on October 6, 2025.
This is our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our brand-new NFL Player Projections Hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL models and the rollout of our new Dimers Sports Betting Podcast.
We're using our model's Monday Night Football predictions and a 50% bet365 profit boost token to build a +390 Same game parlay boosted to +585. New users with bet365 can claim a $200 bonus using the bet365 bonus code DIMERS.
+585 Chiefs vs. Jaguars NFL Same Game Parlay Picks (Boosted from +390)
After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Chiefs vs. Jaguars on Monday Night Football, October 6.
| Player | Prop | Dimers Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | 250+ Passing Yards | 255 Pass Yds |
| Xavier Worthy (Chiefs) | 60+ Receiving Yards | 63 Rec Yds |
| Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) | 225+ Passing Yards | 227 Pass Yds |
MORE: Chiefs vs. Jaguars MNF Box Score Projections
Leg 1: Patrick Mahomes 250+ Passing Yards
As you would probably expect when you have a generational quarterback, the Chiefs rank in the top 10 in the NFL this season for pass attempts. Having an ordinary run game will also help, too. Our projections are expecting more of the same with Kansas City on the road against an intriguing Jags team that has an elite run defense to start the season but are susceptible to giving up yards in the air, ranking 22nd in the league for passing yards allowed to opponents in 2025. We have Mahomes to build on his 278-yard passing performance last week with 255 passing yards projected on Monday night.
Leg 2: Xavier Worthy 60+ Receiving Yards
After being cleaned up by Travis Kelce in Week 1, Xavier Worthy returned to the fold for the Chiefs last week, putting together a monster game with 83 receiving yards to go along with 38 yards on the ground. Worthy figures to be not just a crucial part of this Kansas City offense, but perhaps the most integral part for last year's Super Bowl runners up if they're looking to make a deep playoff run this year. We're projecting Worthy for 63 receiving yards.
Editor's note: Xavier Worthy has been listed as questionable after the original publishing time of this article. Monitor injury reports closer to the game start time.
Leg 3: Trevor Lawrence 225+ Passing Yards
Finishing off our Monday night parlay is Trevor Lawrence with our projections putting the Jags QB down for 227 passing yards. Jacksonville have been an extremely well-rounded offense this year, ranking in the top 10 for both rushing attempts and passing attempts. They're a high octane team who move the ball fast and can hit you in any direction. Under the bright lights, we're expecting Lawrence to shine.
Get Dimers Pro for 20% Off
Every bet and insight featured in our weekly primetime NFL parlays is sourced directly from our Dimers Pro data, our all-encompassing subscription service.
Available for less than $1/day, Dimers Pro features the best NFL bets, NFL player props, our brand-new NFL Player Projections, Super Bowl LX predictions, parlay picks and NFL betting trends analyzed by our in-house cutting-edge predictive model.
Use the promo code 20FOOTBALL to get your first month for 20% off - tap the offer below to learn more!
Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season
- NFL Week 5 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 5 matchup
- NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
- NFL Projections: BRAND NEW Player Projections Hub
- The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch the latest episode
- Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
- Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
- NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league
Responsible Gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure