Parlay these Cowboys vs. Lions player props at +445 odds for Thursday Night Football betting

Week 14 in the NFL has arrived and like always, we kick things off with our latest Primetime Parlay built with the Dimers model for tonight's Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions Thursday Night Football matchup on December 4, 2025, as we look to cash in with the Dimers data.

This has been our biggest NFL season yet on Dimers, with the launch of our new NFL Player Projections hub, complete with boxscores and fantasy projections, our improved NFL predictions models, the rollout of our new Sports Betting Podcast and editorial content enhancements.

As mentioned, we're using our model's Thursday Night Football predictions to build a +445 odds Same Game Parlay over on DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can claim up to a $200 DraftKings bonus when they sign up.

NFL parlay tonight - Cowboy vs. Lions

After simulating tonight's game over 10,000 times, our model has identified the following projections and probabilities for the parlay picks that make up our three-leg same game parlay in Cowboys vs. Lions on Thursday Night Football, December 4.

Leg 1: Jahmyr Gibbs over 38.5 receiving yards

We start this parlay off with our top-projected performer in the game, Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs

Gibbs has been nothing short of spectacular this season, racking up 13 total touchdowns, over 1K rushing and just under 400 receiving yards.

Gibbs has cleared this specific line three times this season, all of them coming in his past six games and gets a larger line than usual with the Lions passing game banged up and Amon-Ra St. Brown out. Gibbs looks in line for more work as a receiver and could find success breaking a big play against a Cowboys defense allowing 44.7 rec yards per game to RBs, the third-most in the NFL.

The Dimers model projects him for 40.7 receiving yards tonight.

Leg 2: Dak Prescott 250+ passing yards

Next, we're looking at Cowboys QB Dak Prescott to tally at least 250 passing yards on TNF.

Dak his hit this in four straight, and nine times this season, putting up numbers that could have him in MVP conversations if the Cowboys had won more games earlier this year.

He ahs the best WR duo in the NFL right now with George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb both capable of 100+ yard games on any given night and Detroit's defense has gotten lucky with its matchups lately - Jalen Hurts, JJ McCarthy and Marcus Mariota don't present major passing threats - while allowing over 350 yards to Jameis Winston just two weeks ago.

The Dimers model projects Dak for  267.4 passing yards tonight, well over this mark.

Leg 3: George Pickens Anytime TD Scorer

As always, we'll end with our TD scorer leg and we're looking at one that correlates with our previous leg, WR George Pickens.

Pickens has 8 touchdowns, the second-most on the Cowboys and more than anyone in the Lions offense besides Jahmyr Gibbs, who is a very juiced -235 to score a touchdown.

The Cowboys' breakout WR has 9+ targets in five straight games and the Lions' 25 passing touchdowns allowed is third-most in the NFL. He has plays of 35+ yards in six games this year, opening up plenty of opportunity to score on a big pass from Prescott, as he has several times already.

The lions have the 27th-ranked red zone defense, allowing scores on 63.2% of trips, and Pickens is tied for the fourth-most targets (17) inside the 20, nearly 50% of Cowboys passing attempts in the red zone, converting those into four scores.

At +125, he's the closest to fair odds out of the top five probabilities in this game with a 41.9% chance to score according to our model.

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