Patriots vs Seahawks Super Bowl Prediction: Is This the Official Beginning of the Drake Maye Era?

When the Patriots take on the Seahawks on Sunday, they'll find themselves in familiar territory on the biggest stage of them all, just seven years after winning their last Super Bowl.

While some NFL franchises rebuild, and rebuild again, chasing relevance and celebrating the occasional playoff win, New England has quietly reset and returned to the summit once again. That doesn’t happen by accident. It reeks of an organization that’s well run from top to bottom.

Now, with a rookie quarterback under center, a championship-winning player as coach and another Lombardi Trophy within reach, the question isn’t just whether the Patriots can beat the Seahawks on Sunday.

It’s whether this moment officially marks the beginning of the Drake Maye era.

The Dimers model likes the Patriots to win the Super Bowl

When it comes to NFL betting, value is hard to find, especially in markets as efficient as the Super Bowl. But throughout the 2025 season, one area has consistently delivered for Dimers users: moneyline bets.

Specifically, closing line moneyline bets in the 2–5% edge range have produced a 12.3% ROI across a sample size of more than 50 bets. That same Sweet Spot shows up again this week, as outlined in our Dimers NFL Model Insight Report, sent via email to Dimers users.

MORE: NFL Player Projections for Patriots vs. Seahawks

According to the Dimers NFL Model, Patriots to win the Super Bowl carries a 4.1% edge at best available odds of +195, pricing New England closer to another championship than the market implies. That puts this play squarely in a range that’s been profitable all season.

Why Patriots vs. Seahawks is closer than the odds suggest

At first glance, the Seahawks look like the safer pick as moneyline favorites. Sam Darnold's career 180 has been an impressive story and he has marched through these playoffs looking assured, even despite battling through the past few weeks with an oblique injury - something other QBs have said is an injury that is excruciating to endure while playing at a position. 

Matching up against a quarterback in just his second year with a team that are well ahead of expectations in their rebuild makes it easy to lean on Seattle as the likely winners. 

But the model sees a different story.

This matchup grades out as extremely tight, with neither team holding a decisive edge across the efficiency metrics that matter most in single-game environments. In games like these, plus-money moneylines historically provide the most value with underdogs covering the spread in each of the last five deciders.

That’s exactly what we’re seeing here.

Drake Maye's defining moment

For Drake Maye, this isn’t just another game.

Quarterbacks are remembered for moments, and winning a Super Bowl in your first appearance - and second year in the league, no less - instantly changes how a career, and a franchise - especially one that has a Tom-Brady sized shadow over it - is viewed. Maye doesn’t need to be perfect to make history. He just needs to rise to the occasion, as he has done on so many occasions this season.

A Patriots Super Bowl win wouldn’t simply add another championship banner. It would signal that New England’s next chapter has officially arrived. Sooner than anyone expected.

Best Bet: Patriots Moneyline

Moneyline bets have been one of the most consistent performers for the Dimers NFL Model all season, and there’s something fitting about ending the year the same way it began: trusting the edge.

Patriots over Seahawks isn’t just Dimers’ best bet for the Super Bowl. It’s a wager on value, process, and the idea that well-run organizations don’t stay down for long.

If Drake Maye lifts the Lombardi Trophy on Sunday night, the era won’t be coming. It’ll already be here.

Access to the Dimers app is included with a Dimers Pro subscription at no charge. Download now on iOS and Android to get full access to all of the tools Dimers has to offer.

Dimers' Super Bowl 60 betting resources

• Patriots vs. Seahawks Game Predictions: Our data-backed preview of Super Bowl LX
• NFL Player  Projections Hub: Projected boxscores and TD probabilities for every player
• The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch every episode featuring our two weeks of Super Bowl LX coverage
• Super Bowl Trends: Fade or follow these historical results?
• Super Bowl Halftime Show Bets and Odds: Bad Bunny rake the stage at Super Bowl LX
• King of the End Zone: Touchdown predictions for DraftKings' $4M jackpot