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Penn State vs. Maryland prediction: Why Maryland is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [1/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Penn State vs Maryland predictions for college basketball Sunday.
Maryland and Penn State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at XFINITY Center on Sunday, starting at 12:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Maryland as the most likely winner of the Penn State vs. Maryland game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Penn State vs. Maryland prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NCAA basketball game between Penn State and Maryland 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Maryland a 58% chance of beating Penn State. Our predicted final score has Maryland winning 74-72.
According to our model, Maryland (-1.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 146.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Penn State vs. Maryland odds
We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penn State | Maryland |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -120 |
| Total | o146.5 (-105) | u146.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penn State vs. Maryland picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Maryland -1.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Maryland | -120 |
| Total | Over 146.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maryland to win.
Penn State vs. Maryland game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's men's college basketball action between Maryland and Penn State at XFINITY Center is scheduled to start at 12:00 PM ET.
- Who: Penn State vs. Maryland
- Date: Sunday, January 18, 2026
- Time: 12:00 PM ET/9:00AM PT
- Venue: XFINITY Center
Conclusion
We predict Maryland, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Penn State on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penn State vs. Maryland insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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