Mercury vs. Valkyries prediction: Golden State favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [6/9/2026]

The Golden State Valkyries and Phoenix Mercury will lock horns in the WNBA at Chase Center on Tuesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Mercury vs. Valkyries game.

The Valkyries, led by Veronica Burton, Janelle Salaun and Gabby Williams, will face off against the Mercury, featuring Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas and Jovana Nogic.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mercury vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Valkyries a 72.8% chance of beating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Mercury (+7.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 55.1% chance of going over.

Mercury vs. Valkyries odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Valkyries
Spread	+7.5 (-105)	-7.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+275	-325
Total	o162.5 (-110)	u162.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mercury vs. Valkyries picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mercury +7.5	-105
Moneyline	Mercury	+275
Total	Over 162.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mercury +7.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mercury vs. Valkyries player props

Betting on Mercury vs. Valkyries WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 13 points, 3 rebounds and 1 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.

For early game action, the data identifies Gabby Williams as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mercury prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kahleah Copper	13	3	1	2	22
Alyssa Thomas	10	6	6	0	32
Jovana Nogic	9	1	1	2	16
M. Akoa-Makani	9	3	3	1	22
DeWanna Bonner	8	5	1	1	18

Valkyries prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Veronica Burton	12	4	6	2	31
Janelle Salaun	10	5	1	2	20
Gabby Williams	10	4	3	1	24
Kayla Thornton	9	6	1	2	22
C. Zandalasini	9	2	2	2	18

Mercury vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Valkyries and Mercury at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries
• Date: Tuesday, June 9, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 72.8% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.