Jun 17, 2026
WNBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Azzi Fudd [6/17/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 17, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/17.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, June 17, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Kiki Iriafen and Kelsey Plum lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 17, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.1% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 15.5% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 15.5% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 14.8% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.7% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 13.6% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.4% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.3% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 13.0% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.0% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.9% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 12.8% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 12.8% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.6% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.6% |
| Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics) | 12.5% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 12.3% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.9% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 11.7% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 11.5% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 11.5% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 11.2% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 11.2% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.1% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 11.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.9% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 10.8% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 10.7% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.6% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 10.6% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.6% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.5% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.3% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 10.1% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 10.0% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 9.9% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 9.6% |
| Cotie McMahon (Mystics) | 9.6% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 9.6% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.4% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.2% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.6% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.4% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 8.2% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 8.2% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 8.1% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.0% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 7.7% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.6% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.5% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.5% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 7.4% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.0% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 7.0% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.7% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.4% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.3% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 5.8% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 5.4% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 4.5% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.2% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 3.9% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 17, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 6.5% | +1300 | 13.7% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 3.3% | +1200 | 11.0% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.0% | +950 | 12.6% |
| Jacy Sheldon | Sky | 2.8% | +2000 | 7.5% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.4% | +950 | 11.9% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 2.4% | +1600 | 8.2% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 2.1% | +650 | 15.5% |
| Leila Lacan | Sun | 1.1% | +950 | 10.6% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 1.1% | +950 | 10.6% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 0.7% | +1200 | 8.4% |
| Michaela Onyenwere | Mystics | 0.7% | +750 | 12.5% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 0.5% | +600 | 14.8% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 0.4% | +800 | 11.5% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/17.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, June 17, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Kiki Iriafen and Kelsey Plum lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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