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Hawthorn Hawks vs. Port Adelaide Power prediction: Hawks favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 6 matchup [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs Port Adelaide Power predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Hawthorn Hawks will face the Port Adelaide Power in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, commencing at 2:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Power vs. Hawks game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Power prediction: Who will win Round 6 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL game between the Power and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hawks a 90% chance of beating the Power.
According to our model, the Hawks (-40.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 184.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Port Adelaide vs. Hawthorn odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Power | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +600 | -1000 |
| Line (Spread) | +40.5 (-115) | -40.5 (-115) |
| Total | o184.5 (-115) | u184.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Power vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks -40.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -1000 |
| Total | Under 184.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Hawks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Power game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Hawks and Power at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to begin at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Port Adelaide Power vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat the Power in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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