Jun 7, 2026
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Read Article Fire vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Sunday.
WNBA action continues on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET as the Portland Fire square off with the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Sparks as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, led by Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Nneka Ogwumike, will face off against the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Luisa Geiselsoder.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Fire and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Sparks a 78.0% chance of defeating the Fire.
According to our model, the Sparks (-8.5) have a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 58.8% chance of staying under.
Fire vs. Sparks odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-120) | -8.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -300 |
| Total | o176.5 (-108) | u176.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sparks -8.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Sparks | -300 |
| Total | Under 176.5 | -112 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Sparks player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Sunday's Portland vs. Los Angeles matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kelsey Plum is projected to have 21 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sparks.
When evaluating the first basket market, Kelsey Plum is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14.9% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| B. Carleton | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Megan Gustafson | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 21 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| Dearica Hamby | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 41 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 37 |
| Ariel Atkins | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Erica Wheeler | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
Fire vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Sparks and Fire at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Sunday, June 7, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 78.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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