Trail Blazers vs. Thunder prediction: Oklahoma City favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [11/23/2025]

The Oklahoma City Thunder will face the Portland Trail Blazers in NBA action at Paycom Center on Sunday, commencing at 7:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Thunder as the most likely winner of the Trail Blazers vs. Thunder game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Thunder lineup will feature stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Ajay Mitchell, while the Trail Blazers will look to Deni Avdija, Jerami Grant and Caleb Love.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Blazers vs. Thunder prediction: Who will win and cover?

As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Trail Blazers and Thunder.

Our famous predictive model gives the Thunder an 88% chance of defeating the Trail Blazers. Our predicted final score has the Thunder winning 123-109.

According to our model, the Trail Blazers (+15.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 233.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Trail Blazers	Thunder
Spread	+15.5 (-110)	-15.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+870	-1400
Total	o233.5 (-108)	u233.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Trail Blazers +15.5	-110
Moneyline	Trail Blazers	+870
Total	Under 233.5	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Trail Blazers +15.5 at the spread.

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder player props

NBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Portland vs. Oklahoma City game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Paycom Center.

Deni Avdija is expected to lead the Trail Blazers with 24 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists, while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to have 30 points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists for the Thunder.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Trail Blazers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Trail Blazers are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Deni Avdija	24	8	6	3	49
Jerami Grant	17	3	3	3	30
Caleb Love	14	7	4	3	34
Toumani Camara	14	5	3	3	31
Sidy Cissoko	10	3	2	2	22

Thunder prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Thunder:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	30	5	7	2	52
Chet Holmgren	17	7	2	2	35
Ajay Mitchell	15	3	3	1	29
Isaiah Joe	13	3	2	3	24
I. Hartenstein	11	9	4	0	33

Blazers vs. Thunder game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Thunder and Trail Blazers at Paycom Center is scheduled to start at 7:00PM ET.

• Who: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
• Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
• Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Paycom Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Thunder, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat the Trail Blazers on Sunday, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Trail Blazers vs. Thunder insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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