Jul 1, 2026
Geelong Cats vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Cats favored to win Thursday's AFL Round 17 matchup [7/2/2026]
Read Article Collingwood Magpies vs. Richmond Tigers prediction: Why Magpies are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 16 matchup [6/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers predictions for AFL Saturday.
AFL action continues on Saturday at 2:15 AM ET as the Richmond Tigers lock horns with the Collingwood Magpies at Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Magpies as the most likely winner of the Tigers vs. Magpies game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Magpies vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win Round 16 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Tigers and Magpies, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Magpies an 85.3% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+37.5) have a 55.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 165.5 points has a 50.1% chance of staying under,.
Richmond vs. Collingwood odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tigers | Magpies |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +600 | -1111 |
| Line (Spread) | +37.5 (-115) | -37.5 (-115) |
| Total | o165.5 (-115) | u165.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigers vs. Magpies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tigers +37.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +600 |
| Total | Under 165.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigers +37.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magpies vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Magpies and Tigers at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Richmond Tigers vs. Collingwood Magpies
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Magpies, with an 85.3% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
