Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico prediction: New Mexico favored to win NIT matchup [3/18/2026]

New Mexico will square off with Sam Houston State in NIT action at The Pit on Wednesday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects New Mexico as the most likely winner of the Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico prediction: Who will win NIT matchup?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Sam Houston State and New Mexico 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives New Mexico an 86% chance of defeating Sam Houston State. Our predicted final score has New Mexico winning 84-72.

According to our model, New Mexico (-11.5) has a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.

Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sam Houston State	New Mexico
Spread	+11.5 (-108)	-11.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+550	-750
Total	o162.5 (-110)	u162.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	New Mexico -11.5	-110
Moneyline	Sam Houston State	+550
Total	Under 162.5	-105

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 162.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between New Mexico and Sam Houston State at The Pit is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico
• Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: The Pit

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Conclusion

We predict New Mexico, with an 86% win probability, will likely beat Sam Houston State this men's National Invitational Tournament matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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