Belgium vs. Senegal prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's World Cup 2026 game between Belgium and Senegal, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 46.2% chance of Belgium winning, a 28.4% chance for Senegal, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 50.4% chance of staying under, with a 53.5% chance that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Belgium holds a 24.9% probability to win without conceding, with Senegal at 14.7%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is a win for either Belgium or Senegal at 74.6%.

Note that these odds cover 90 minutes of regulation time. If you're used to NBA markets that include overtime, remember that World Cup bets exclude extra time unless the specific market says so.

Senegal vs. Belgium odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Belgium	Senegal	Draw
+115	+270	+230

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-112	+100

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Belgium vs. Senegal picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Senegal @ +270 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
• Win to Nil: Senegal @ +500 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Belgium or Senegal @ -300 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ +130 via DraftKings

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Senegal to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Belgium vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Belgium 1-1 Senegal	12%
Belgium 1-0 Senegal	10.5%
Belgium 2-1 Senegal	9.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Belgium vs. Senegal player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Wednesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Belgium-Senegal:

Belgium

• Charles De Ketelaere: 21.0% probability
• Leandro Trossard: 19.2% probability
• Kevin De Bruyne: 18.4% probability
• Jeremy Doku: 16.9% probability
• Hans Vanaken: 13.7% probability

Senegal

• Ismaila Sarr: 18.2% probability
• Sadio Mane: 18.0% probability
• Iliman Ndiaye: 14.3% probability
• Pape Gueye: 10.0% probability
• Lamine Camara: 8.1% probability

Belgium vs. Senegal game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's soccer World Cup action between Belgium and Senegal at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Belgium vs. Senegal
• Date: Wednesday, July 1, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Belgium has a 46.2% win probability on Wednesday, Senegal has a 28.4% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.