...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Senegal vs. France 2026 World Cup early prediction with win probabilities
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get early predictions for the upcoming Senegal vs France FIFA World Cup game.
Senegal and France will meet in the group stage of the 2026 World Cup at MetLife Stadium on Tuesday, June 16.
This Group I clash sees Senegal, recent AFCON champions, face France, the 2018 World Cup winners.
With 102 days until kickoff, Dimers’ trusted soccer model currently favors France to win.
For full coverage, see our interactive France vs. Senegal page and World Cup predictions hub.
Senegal vs. France early predictions
Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Senegal vs. France game as part of our World Cup predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:
- Win probabilities: Senegal 14.4%, Draw 20.9%, France 64.7%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 52%, Under 48%
- Both teams to score: Yes 47%, No 53%
- Most likely final score: France 1-0 Senegal (12.5%)
As of March 6, 2026, these France-Senegal figures and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.
Senegal vs. France World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between France and Senegal is scheduled for June 16, 2026, with the two teams starting their campaigns in what is set to be the most-viewed World Cup ever.
- Teams: France vs. Senegal
- Tournament stage: Group I
- Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Senegal vs. France latest odds
We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Group I game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Senegal +650, France -240, Draw +360
- Total goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+114)
Odds subject to change as the tournament draws nearer.
France vs. Senegal picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Senegal | +650 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +114 |
We will be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge on this game being on Under 2.5 total goals.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Senegal's odds provide the best long-term value right now.
France vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 France win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| France 1-0 Senegal | 12.5% |
| France 2-0 Senegal | 12.2% |
| France 1-1 Senegal | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.1% chance of both France and Senegal finding the net and a 52.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Conclusion: France vs. Senegal prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that France to win is the most likely outcome, followed by a draw, with Senegal to win as the least likely result..
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure