Australia vs. Turkey prediction revised after 2026 World Cup roster releases

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming Turkey vs Australia FIFA World Cup game.

Australia-Turkey Updated Predictions and Squad Preview.
BC Place sets the stage for the World Cup group stage matchup between Australia and Turkey on Sunday, June 14, 2026.

With official player lists now confirmed for the World Cup, our experts have determined the updated win probabilities and best bets for the Group D clash between Turkey and Australia at BC Place on Sunday, June 14.

Dimers Pro users have access to the full analysis below, where we build on our early Turkey-Australia predictions to detail the latest projections and betting picks, and have a complete look at the official squads for both nations.

Official World Cup squads: Australia and Turkey

Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:

Australia

Goalkeepers: Mathew Ryan (Levante), Paul Izzo (Randers FC), Patrick Beach (Melbourne City)

Defenders: Jordan Bos (Feyenoord Rotterdam), Aziz Behich (Melbourne City), Harry Souttar (Leicester City), Alessandro Circati (Parma), Lucas Herrington (Colorado Rapids), Cameron Burgess (Swansea City), Kai Trewin (New York City FC), Milos Degenek (Apoel Nicosia), Jason Geria (Albirex Niigata), Jacob Italiano (Grazer AK)

Midfielders: Jackson Irvine (St. Pauli), Aiden O'Neill (New York City FC), Paul Okon Jr (Sydney FC), Cameron Devlin (Heart of Midlothian)

Forwards: Connor Metcalfe (St. Pauli), Mathew Leckie (Melbourne City), Nishan Velupillay (Melbourne Victory), Cristian Volpato (Sassuolo), Nestory Irankunda (Watford), Awer Mabil (Castellón), Ajdin Hrustic (Heracles Almelo), Mohamed Toure (Norwich City), Tete Yengi (Machida Zelvia)

Manager: Tony Popovic

Türkiye

Goalkeepers: Altay Bayindir (Manchester United), Mert Gunok (Fenerbahce), Ugurcan Cakir (Galatasaray)

Defenders: Abdulkerim Bardakci (Galatasaray), Caglar Soyuncu (Fenerbahce), Eren Elmali (Galatasaray), Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton), Merih Demiral (Al-Ahli Saudi), Mert Muldur (Fenerbahce), Ozan Kabak (Hoffenheim), Samet Akaydin (Caykur Rizespor), Zeki Celik (AS Roma)

Midfielders: Hakan Calhanoglu (Inter Milan), Ismail Yuksek (Fenerbahce), Kaan Ayhan (Galatasaray), Orkun Kokcu (Besiktas), Salih Ozcan (Borussia Dortmund)

Forwards: Arda Guler (Real Madrid), Baris Alper Yilmaz (Galatasaray), Can Uzun (Eintracht Frankfurt), Deniz Gul (Porto), Irfan Can Kahveci (Kasimpasa), Kenan Yildiz (Juventus), Kerem Akturkoglu (Fenerbahce), Oguz Aydin (Fenerbahce), Yunus Akgun (Galatasaray)

Manager: Vincenzo Montella

Updated Australia vs. Turkey predictions and picks including +410 play

Leveraging our updated data and the above roster updates, we have re-run the numbers on this fixture. Here are the modified predictions:

  • Win probabilities: Australia 22.4%, Turkey 53.2%, Draw 24.4%
  • Both teams to score: Yes 50.6%, No 49.4%
  • Total goals (2.5): Over 49.1%, Under 50.9%
  • Win to nil: Australia 11.9%, Turkey 30.3%
  • Double chance (win or draw): Australia 46.8%, Turkey 77.6%
  • Most likely final score: 1-0 Türkiye win (11.8%)

These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for Australia and Turkey.

Australia vs. Turkey picks and best bet

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Australia +410
Total Over 2.5 +106

We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge in this one being on Australia to win.

 

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge on Australia's odds provides the best long-term value right now.

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Türkiye vs. Australia World Cup details

The FIFA World Cup matchup between Australia and Türkiye is scheduled for June 14, 2026, with the two teams starting their campaigns in what is looking to be the largest World Cup in history.

  • Teams: Australia vs. Turkey
  • Tournament stage: Group D
  • Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
  • Venue: BC Place
  • Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?

Conclusion: Australia vs. Turkey prediction

Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that ** to win** is the most likely outcome, followed by to win, with to win as the least likely result.

For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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