France vs. Senegal prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's World Cup 2026 game between France and Senegal, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 64.1% chance of France winning, a 14.2% chance for Senegal, and a 21.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51.9% chance of staying under, with a 56.0% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, France holds a 40.4% probability to win without conceding, with Senegal at 8.1%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple possibilities, the most likely double chance result is France to win or draw at 85.8%.

Senegal vs. France odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

France	Senegal	Draw
-215	+600	+360

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-125	+105

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

France vs. Senegal picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Senegal @ +360 via DraftKings
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Senegal @ +875 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Senegal or Draw @ +170 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: No @ -120 via DraftKings

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

France vs. Senegal: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 France win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
France 1-0 Senegal	13.9%
France 2-0 Senegal	12.9%
France 1-1 Senegal	10.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.0% chance of both France and Senegal finding the net and a 56.0% chance that at least one doesn’t.

France vs. Senegal player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Tuesday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in France-Senegal:

France

• Kylian Mbappe: 38.4% probability
• Michael Olise: 24.6% probability
• Ousmane Dembele: 24.6% probability
• Desire Doue: 22.1% probability
• Adrien Rabiot: 11.0% probability

Senegal

• Sadio Mane: 13.0% probability
• Nicolas Jackson: 12.5% probability
• Iliman Ndiaye: 9.3% probability
• Pape Gueye: 7.7% probability
• Habib Diarra: 7.5% probability

France vs. Senegal game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's FIFA World Cup game between France and Senegal at MetLife Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: France vs. Senegal
• Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: MetLife Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, France has a 64.1% win probability on Tuesday, Senegal has a 14.2% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.