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South Dakota State vs. Ball State prediction: South Dakota State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/9/2025]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get South Dakota State vs Ball State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.

South Dakota State-Ball State Predictions and Game Preview.
South Dakota State vs. Ball State men's college basketball prediction for Tuesday, December 9, 2025.

Ball State will take on the favored South Dakota State in men's college basketball action at John E. Worthen Arena on Tuesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts South Dakota State as the most likely winner of the South Dakota State vs. Ball State game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

South Dakota State vs. Ball State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball game between South Dakota State and Ball State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives South Dakota State a 69% chance of defeating Ball State. Our predicted final score has South Dakota State winning 74-69.

According to our model, Ball State (+5.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 142.5-point over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

South Dakota State vs. Ball State odds

We have sourced the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type South Dakota State Ball State
Spread -5.5 (-110) +5.5 (-108)
Moneyline -250 +205
Total o142.5 (-112) u142.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

South Dakota State vs. Ball State picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Ball State +5.5 -108
Moneyline Ball State +205
Total Over 142.5 -112

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 142.5 total points.

 

South Dakota State vs. Ball State game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between Ball State and South Dakota State at John E. Worthen Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.

  • Who: South Dakota State vs. Ball State
  • Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
  • Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
  • Venue: John E. Worthen Arena

Conclusion

We predict South Dakota State, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat Ball State on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate South Dakota State vs. Ball State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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