Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [3/6/2026]

Texas State and Southern Miss will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Pensacola Bay Center on Friday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Texas State as the most likely winner of the Southern Miss vs. Texas State game.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAA basketball matchup between Southern Miss and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Texas State a 56% chance of defeating Southern Miss. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 72-71.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Southern Miss and Texas State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 140.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of going over.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Southern Miss vs. Texas State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: