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Read Article Fremantle Dockers vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Dockers favored to win Friday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/22/2026]
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Friday.
AFL action continues on Friday at 6:30 AM ET as the St Kilda Saints lock horns with the Fremantle Dockers at Optus Stadium.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Dockers as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Dockers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dockers vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Saints and Dockers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Dockers a 76% chance of beating the Saints.
According to our model, the Saints (+22.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
St Kilda vs. Fremantle odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Dockers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +290 | -400 |
| Line (Spread) | +22.5 (-115) | -22.5 (-115) |
| Total | o167.5 (-115) | u167.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Dockers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints +22.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Saints | +290 |
| Total | Under 167.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints +22.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dockers vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Dockers and Saints at Optus Stadium is scheduled to begin at 6:30 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Fremantle Dockers
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 6:30 AM ET/3:30AM PT
- Venue: Optus Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Dockers, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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