May 21, 2026
Richmond Tigers vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Why Bombers are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/22/2026]
Read Article Fremantle Dockers vs. St Kilda Saints prediction: Dockers favored to win Friday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints predictions for AFL Friday.
The Fremantle Dockers will face the St Kilda Saints in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Optus Stadium on Friday, commencing at 6:30 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Dockers as the most likely winner of the Saints vs. Dockers game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dockers vs. Saints prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL game between the Saints and Dockers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dockers a 79% chance of defeating the Saints.
According to our model, the Saints (+24.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
St Kilda vs. Fremantle odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Saints | Dockers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +310 | -417 |
| Line (Spread) | +24.5 (-115) | -24.5 (-115) |
| Total | o172.5 (-115) | u172.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Saints vs. Dockers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints +24.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Dockers | -417 |
| Total | Under 172.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dockers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dockers vs. Saints game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Dockers and Saints at Optus Stadium is scheduled to start at 6:30 AM ET.
- Who: St Kilda Saints vs. Fremantle Dockers
- Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
- Time: 6:30 AM ET/3:30AM PT
- Venue: Optus Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Dockers, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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