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Five reasons to take a flyer on Cooper Kupp in Super Bowl 60
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
We aren't just betting on a second-string receiver; we are banking on a former Super Bowl MVP to channel his championship pedigree when the lights are brightest.
While the cold, hard data suggests a modest outing for the 2022 Super Bowl MVP Cooper Kupp—we're projecting 3.2 receptions and 38.6 yards—every seasoned bettor knows that events like the Super Bowl are often where the rule book goes out the window in favor of the fairytale narrative. In this Cooper Kupp betting guide, we aren't just wagering on a second-string receiver; we are banking on a former Super Bowl MVP to channel his championship pedigree when the lights are at their brightest.
As the New England Patriots likely focus their defensive resources on neutralizing Seattle's explosive league-leader, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and the red-hot Kenneth Walker III, Kupp is perfectly positioned to fly under the radar!
Hear me out, because the logic is simple.
If New England’s secondary focusses its attention on JSN as expected, Kupp—the master of finding soft spots in the zone—becomes the obvious safety blanket for Sam Darnold.
Five high-upside Cooper Kupp plays for Super Bowl 60
1. Over 3.5 receptions (+148)
While our projection sits at 3.2 catches, "Playoff Kupp" has seen a significant volume surge, and that could continue on Sunday.
The volume shift: Kupp’s target share has jumped to 22% in the postseason. He recorded five receptions against the 49ers and four in the NFC Championship win over the Rams.
The reliable valve: For Sam Darnold, playing on the world's biggest stage, Kupp remains the proven "safety blanket" who can move the chains under intense pressure.
PREDICTIONS: Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl LX preview
2. Anytime touchdown (+300)
If you’re looking for a Kupp touchdown bet, the Anytime TD is the most grounded way to back the veteran.
The projection: Our model gives Kupp a 23.5% probability of finding the end zone on Sunday.
The veteran edge: While he only scored twice in the regular season, he did find the end zone in the Seahawks' recent NFC Championship win over the Rams. At best odds of +300, it’s a fun bet on a player with legendary red-zone instincts, noting that "fair" odds would be somewhere around +320.
3. 60+ receiving yards (+360)
While Dimers' NFL player projections have him down for a credible 39-yards, clearing the 60-yard mark would mean Kupp has managed to seriously exploit New England’s defensive priorities.
The coverage gap: The Patriots' secondary is expected to focus heavily on neutralizing Seattle’s primary weapon, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and if they go overboard, Kupp can be the beneficiary.
The opportunity: With top corners such as the Pats' Christian Gonzalez shifted toward JSN, Kupp is often left to work the middle of the field from the slot. If he finds the soft spots in the zone—a specialty that has defined his career—clearing 60 yards becomes a somewhat realistic "ceiling" outcome, despite only passing that number twice (90 and 74) this season.
4. First touchdown scorer (+1600)
The Super Bowl first touchdown bet is for those who believe in veteran poise during the game’s chaotic opening minutes.
The probability: Our projections place his probability of scoring the first touchdown at 5.0%. With the best availble odds of +1600, this play is not exactly great value—since "fair" odds would be +1900—but it's a fun one nonetheless.
The pedigree: Unlike younger players who may be overawed by the Super Bowl stage, Kupp has already lived through these high-stakes opening drives. Seattle's offense often uses scripted opening drives that can create looks for a reliable veteran such as Kupp.
5. Super Bowl 60 MVP (+10000)
The ultimate "Cinderella" bet is the MVP at 100-to-1.
The narrative: If Seattle wins and Kupp happens to be the unlikely engine of their offense with 7+ catches and a game-winning score, the "he's done it again" headline becomes irresistible for voters.
The value: Having triumphed before, Kupp is uniquely positioned to join the MVP conversation if several of the above scenarios successfully align. If he secures the opening score, he would—at least in the short term—be in the prime position to make history as the first non-quarterback to ever win the award twice.
Conclusion: Fortune favors the brave
Betting on Cooper Kupp in Super Bowl LX isn't about ignoring the data—it's about interpreting it through the lens of proven championship experience. While the Patriots' defense is a formidable top-10 unit, their expected obsession with neutralizing Seattle's younger stars creates a "forgotten man" scenario for a player who literally won it all four years ago.
Whether you’re anchoring your card with his reception total or taking a true flyer on a historic second MVP, sometimes the smartest bet is on the man who's already proven he can handle the big time.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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