Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction: Why Texas Rio Grande Valley is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/11/2025]

Texas Rio Grande Valley will face Texas-Arlington in men's college basketball action at UTRGV Fieldhouse on Thursday, starting at 7:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college basketball model projects Texas Rio Grande Valley as the most likely winner of the Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley game.

This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NCAA basketball matchup between Texas-Arlington and Texas Rio Grande Valley 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Texas Rio Grande Valley a 62% chance of beating Texas-Arlington. Our predicted final score has Texas Rio Grande Valley winning 76-73.

According to our model, Texas-Arlington (+4.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 145.5 points has a 56% chance of going over.

Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas-Arlington vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: