Texas vs. Purdue prediction: Why Purdue is favored to win men's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup [3/26/2026]

Purdue and Texas are scheduled to meet in March Madness Sweet Sixteen action at SAP Center at San Jose on Thursday, with tipoff at 7:10 PM ET.

For this Sweet 16 game, Purdue—a veteran group led by the winningest senior class in school history— come up against Texas, a strong rebounding team with a top-10 offense.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Purdue as the most likely winner of the Texas vs. Purdue game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Texas vs. Purdue prediction: Who will win and advance to the Elite Eight?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NCAAM Tournament game between Texas and Purdue, forming part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Purdue an 80% chance of beating Texas. Our predicted final score has Purdue winning 79-70.

According to our model, Purdue (-8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.

Texas vs. Purdue odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Texas	Purdue
Spread	+8.5 (-110)	-8.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+350	-450
Total	o146.5 (-110)	u146.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Texas vs. Purdue picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Purdue -8.5	-110
Moneyline	Texas	+350
Total	Over 146.5	-110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 146.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Texas vs. Purdue game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's men's college basketball action between Purdue and Texas at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.

• Who: Texas vs. Purdue
• Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026
• Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
• Venue: SAP Center at San Jose
• March Madness stage: Sweet 16

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Conclusion

We predict Purdue, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Texas this men's March Madness Sweet Sixteen matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Texas vs. Purdue insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

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