Three data-backed NFL player prop trends to bet on Monday Night Football doubleheader, October 20

Week 7 in the NFL is here and once again features a two-game slate on Monday Night Football, this week showcasing the Detroit Lions vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Seattle Seahawks vs. the Houston Texans.

Dimers' NFL Predictions reveal a number of valuable betting opportunities, including our Lions-Bucs spread pick, NFL player prop bets and multiple touchdown props with an edge in Seahawks-Texans.

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Using our NFL Trends tool, part of our comprehensive suite of Dimers Pro NFL features, we've identified three strong player prop trends supported by both historical performances and predictions from our data-backed NFL simulations.

Here are three NFL trends to put on your betting radar for Week 7's Monday Night Football games, featuring one player from each team:

Prop Bet: Nick Chubb Over 35.5 Rushing Yards

Trend: 6 of Last 6

Leading all NFL player prop trends is Houston Texans running back Nick Chubb who has picked up where he left off last season before joining the Texans, recording over 35.5 rushing yards in all five games he's played this season.

He's had 40+ all but one this year which displays his upside, even clearing this number on his lowest usage with 9 carries in Week 3 vs. the Jaguars.

His next matchup will come vs. the Seattle Seahawks who have boasted the top rushing defense this season, allowing 61.8 yards per contest, however the Dimers model is leaning on the recent performances by Chubb with a projection of 43.4 rushing yards as he enters this game well-rested off a bye.

Prop Bet: Jared Goff Under 32.5 Passing Attempts

Trend: 5 of Last 5

The next trend is on Lions QB Jared Goff who has not thrown at least 33 passing attempts since Week 1 of the season.

In that game, the Lions were trailing early on and were forced to throw. The closest the Lions have come since then is in Week 6 vs. the Chiefs in which Goff attempted 29 passes, still going under with a strong cushion.

Further backing this trend is that Goff has also completed under 23.5 passes in that same span, yet he has finished with 23 twice, just going under, while his attempts in that span are: 28, 28, 27, 23 and 29. He projects for 22.7 completions on Monday night.

The Lions have a strong running game and HC Dan Campbell has said he wants to get more work for RB David Montgomery. With the Bucs missing several offensive starters, the Lions are unlikely to trail for long in this game which suggests a more run-heavy strategy.

Prop Bet: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 85.5 Receiving Yards

Trend: 5 of Last 6

Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads all wide receivers in yards this season with 696, more than halfway to his 2024 total in a third of the games.

He's recorded over 85.5 receiving yards in five of six games this season, including four with over 100 and three games over 120.

He has a more conservative projection from the Dimers model at 89.6 receiving yards vs. a Texans defense allowing the fifth-fewest receiving yards per game at 175.2, but still over his line on the sportsbooks.

The Texans allowed one receiver to clear this number, Puka Nacua, in Week 1, but this will be the first time the Texans have face a WR/QB duo of that same level of talent since, opening the door for another big game for JSN.

How to Bet These Three Data-Backed MNF Player Props

Ranging from an 83.3% hit rate to a 100% hit rate over the full season, these NFL player prop bets are backed by strong trends and supported by the Dimers NFL simulation data.

Bettors can play each bet as a straight wager, or entertain a trends-backed NFL parlay that would pay out at impressive odds of +611 which would return over $175 off a $25 bet.

Dimers' NFL Betting Resources for the 2025-26 Season

• NFL Week 7 Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every Week 7 matchup
• NFL Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game, every week
• NFL Projections: BRAND NEW Player Projections Hub
• The Dimers Sports Betting Podcast: Watch the latest episode
• Super Bowl Odds: Who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy?
• Best NFL Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
• NFL Betting News: The latest promos, storylines and more around the league

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