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Blue Jays vs. Brewers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions for MLB Thursday.
The Milwaukee Brewers and Toronto bluejays are scheduled to meet in MLB action at American Family Field on Thursday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.
Brandon Sproat (0-1, 10.45 ERA) will start on the mound for the Brewers, pitting him against Patrick Corbin (0-0, 9.00 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Blue Jays.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Blue Jays vs. Brewers matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Blue Jays and Brewers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 52% chance of defeating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the 8.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers odds [4/16/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blue Jays | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | -115 |
| Total | o8.5 (-108) | u8.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brewers | -115 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB game between the Brewers and Blue Jays at American Family Field is scheduled to begin at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: American Family Field
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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