Sweden vs. Tunisia prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 game between Sweden and Tunisia, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 50.2% chance of Sweden winning, a 24.6% chance for Tunisia, and a 25.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51.5% chance of staying under, with a 51.1% chance that both teams score. In the win to nil market, Sweden holds a 28.4% probability to win without conceding, with Tunisia given a 13.2% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Sweden to win or draw at 75.4%.

Tunisia vs. Sweden odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Sweden	Tunisia	Draw
-105	+330	+240

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+120	-140

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sweden vs. Tunisia picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Tunisia @ +330 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +120 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Tunisia @ +525 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Sweden or Tunisia @ -310 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sweden vs. Tunisia: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Sweden 1-1 Tunisia	11.9%
Sweden 1-0 Tunisia	11.6%
Sweden 2-1 Tunisia	9.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 51.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 48.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Sweden vs. Tunisia player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Sweden-Tunisia:

Sweden

• Viktor Gyokeres: 30.7% probability
• Alexander Isak: 27.4% probability
• Benjamin Nygren: 19.4% probability
• Yasin Ayari: 9.6% probability
• Daniel Svensson: 6.5% probability

Tunisia

• Firas Chaouat: 17.3% probability
• Elias Achouri: 11.8% probability
• Anis Slimane: 11.7% probability
• Hannibal : 9.1% probability
• Ali Abdi: 7.2% probability

Sweden vs. Tunisia game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's soccer World Cup matchup between Sweden and Tunisia at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Sweden vs. Tunisia
• Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio BBVA

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sweden has a 50.2% win probability on Sunday, Tunisia has a 24.6% win probability, and there is a 25.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.