Australia vs. Türkiye prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's World Cup 2026 game between Australia and Turkey, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 21.2% chance of Australia winning, a 54.7% chance for Turkey, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 50.9% chance of staying under, with a 50-50 chance of both teams scoring. In the win to nil market, Türkiye holds a 31.5% probability to win without conceding, with Australia given a 11.4% chance.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Türkiye to win or draw at 78.8%.

Türkiye vs. Australia odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Australia	Turkey	Draw
+430	-145	+285

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
+105	-120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Australia vs. Turkey picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Australia @ +430 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Australia @ +650 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Australia or Draw @ +115 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Australia to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Australia's odds provide the best value right now.

Australia vs. Turkey: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Türkiye win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Australia 0-1 Türkiye	12.1%
Australia 1-1 Türkiye	11.5%
Australia 0-2 Türkiye	10.2%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project an even 50-50 chance of the yes and no markets hitting. With that in mind, we recommend searching for the best available odds before placing a bet.

Australia vs. Turkey player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Australia-Türkiye:

Australia

• Mohamed Toure: 14.8% probability
• Cristian Volpato: 9.8% probability
• Jacob Italiano: 8.4% probability
• Ajdin Hrustic: 7.4% probability
• Conor Metcalfe: 7.3% probability

Turkey

• Kerem Akturkoglu: 26.6% probability
• Arda Guler: 23.0% probability
• Baris Yilmaz: 21.4% probability
• Hakan Calhanoglu: 17.2% probability
• Orkun Kokcu: 15.5% probability

Australia vs. Türkiye game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's soccer World Cup action between Australia and Turkey at BC Place is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.

• Who: Australia vs. Turkey
• Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
• Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
• Venue: BC Place

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Australia has a 21.2% win probability on Sunday, Turkey has a 54.7% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.