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UCLA vs. Michigan State prediction: Why Michigan State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/17/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get UCLA vs Michigan State predictions for college basketball Tuesday.

UCLA-Michigan State Predictions and Game Preview.
UCLA vs. Michigan State men's college basketball prediction for Tuesday, February 17, 2026.

Michigan State will face UCLA in men's college basketball action at Jack Breslin Students Events Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Michigan State as the most likely winner of the UCLA vs. Michigan State game.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

UCLA vs. Michigan State prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between UCLA and Michigan State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Michigan State an 81% chance of beating UCLA. Our predicted final score has Michigan State winning 74-65.

According to our model, Michigan State (-8.5) has a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 139.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

 

UCLA vs. Michigan State odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type UCLA Michigan State
Spread +8.5 (-110) -8.5 (-105)
Moneyline +350 -425
Total o139.5 (-110) u139.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

UCLA vs. Michigan State picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Michigan State -8.5 -105
Moneyline Michigan State -425
Total Under 139.5 -105

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Michigan State -8.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

UCLA vs. Michigan State game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's men's college basketball action between Michigan State and UCLA at Jack Breslin Students Events Center is scheduled to commence at 8:30 PM ET.

  • Who: UCLA vs. Michigan State
  • Date: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
  • Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Conclusion

We predict Michigan State, with an 81% win probability, will likely beat UCLA on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UCLA vs. Michigan State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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