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Utah State vs. Nevada prediction: Utah State favored to win men's college basketball matchup [2/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Utah State vs Nevada predictions for college basketball Saturday.
Nevada and Utah State will lock horns in men's college basketball action at Lawlor Events Center on Saturday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Utah State as the most likely winner of the Utah State vs. Nevada game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Utah State vs. Nevada prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NCAA basketball matchup between Utah State and Nevada 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Utah State a 65% chance of defeating Nevada. Our predicted final score has Utah State winning 75-71.
According to our model, Nevada (+5.5) has a 61% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 146.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Utah State vs. Nevada odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Utah State | Nevada |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-110) | +5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -235 | +196 |
| Total | o146.5 (-115) | u146.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Utah State vs. Nevada picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Nevada +5.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Nevada | +196 |
| Total | Under 146.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Nevada +5.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Utah State vs. Nevada game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's men's college basketball matchup between Nevada and Utah State at Lawlor Events Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah State vs. Nevada
- Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Lawlor Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Utah State, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Nevada on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Utah State vs. Nevada insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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