...
...
Read Article
UTSA vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/12/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get UTSA vs Texas State predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Texas State will square off with UTSA in men's college basketball action at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Wednesday, commencing at 8:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Texas State as the most likely winner of the UTSA vs. Texas State game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
UTSA vs. Texas State prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between UTSA and Texas State 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Texas State a 61% chance of defeating UTSA. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 74-71.
According to our model, UTSA (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 147.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
UTSA vs. Texas State odds
We have sourced the best Men's College Basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UTSA | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-118) | -3.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +130 | -155 |
| Total | o147.5 (-112) | u147.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UTSA vs. Texas State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | UTSA +3.5 | -118 |
| Moneyline | Texas State | -155 |
| Total | Under 147.5 | -108 |
According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 147.5 total points.
UTSA vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Texas State and UTSA at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.
- Who: UTSA vs. Texas State
- Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2025
- Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
Conclusion
We predict Texas State, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat UTSA on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate UTSA vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure