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Virginia vs. Texas prediction: Why Texas is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/3/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Virginia vs Texas predictions for college basketball Wednesday.

Virginia-Texas Predictions and Game Preview.
Virginia vs. Texas men's college basketball prediction for Wednesday, December 3, 2025.

Texas and Virginia will meet in men's college basketball action at Moody Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 9:15PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Texas as the most likely winner of the Virginia vs. Texas game.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Virginia vs. Texas prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Virginia and Texas 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Texas a 63% chance of beating Virginia. Our predicted final score has Texas winning 78-74.

According to our model, Texas (-2.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 154.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.

 

Virginia vs. Texas odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Virginia Texas
Spread +2.5 (-102) -2.5 (-120)
Moneyline +145 -165
Total o154.5 (-105) u154.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Virginia vs. Texas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Texas -2.5 -120
Moneyline Texas -165
Total Under 154.5 -110

According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Texas -2.5 at the spread.

 

Virginia vs. Texas game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Texas and Virginia at Moody Center is scheduled to begin at 9:15PM ET.

  • Who: Virginia vs. Texas
  • Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025
  • Time: 9:15PM ET/6:15PM PT
  • Venue: Moody Center

 

Conclusion

We predict Texas, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Virginia on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Virginia vs. Texas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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