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Read Article Carlton Blues vs. Western Bulldogs prediction: Why Bulldogs are favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 10 matchup [5/16/2026]
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs predictions for AFL Saturday.
The Carlton Blues will take on the Western Bulldogs in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, starting at 5:35 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Bulldogs as the most likely winner of the Bulldogs vs. Blues game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blues vs. Bulldogs prediction: Who will win Round 10 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's AFL matchup between the Bulldogs and Blues, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Bulldogs a 59% chance of defeating the Blues.
According to our model, the Blues (+10.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 190.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Bulldogs vs. Carlton odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bulldogs | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -175 | +140 |
| Line (Spread) | -10.5 (-115) | +10.5 (-115) |
| Total | o190.5 (-115) | u190.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bulldogs vs. Blues picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Blues +10.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Blues | +140 |
| Total | Under 190.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues +10.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blues vs. Bulldogs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football matchup between the Blues and Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 5:35 AM ET.
- Who: Western Bulldogs vs. Carlton Blues
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 5:35 AM ET/2:35AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Bulldogs, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Blues in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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