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Read Article Hawthorn Hawks vs. Western Bulldogs prediction: Hawks favored to win Friday's AFL Round 13 matchup [6/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Hawthorn Hawks vs Western Bulldogs predictions for AFL Friday.
The Hawthorn Hawks and Western Bulldogs are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, starting at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Bulldogs vs. Hawks game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Hawks vs. Bulldogs prediction: Who will win Round 13 game?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's AFL matchup between the Bulldogs and Hawks, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Hawks a 66% chance of beating the Bulldogs.
According to our model, the Hawks (-11.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 176.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.
Bulldogs vs. Hawthorn odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bulldogs | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +155 | -196 |
| Line (Spread) | +11.5 (-115) | -11.5 (-115) |
| Total | o176.5 (-115) | u176.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bulldogs vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks -11.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Hawks | -196 |
| Total | Under 176.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Hawks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Hawks vs. Bulldogs game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football game between the Hawks and Bulldogs at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: Western Bulldogs vs. Hawthorn Hawks
- Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat the Bulldogs in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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