May 20, 2026
Wings vs. Sky prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Wednesday's WNBA game [5/20/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/20.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, May 20, 2026—are live with the Mavericks' Dominique Malonga projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Malonga, Brittney Griner and Brittney Griner lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 20, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 14.8% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 14.6% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 14.5% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 14.3% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 13.2% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 12.4% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 12.4% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 11.7% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 11.4% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 11.4% |
| Odyssey Sims (Wings) | 11.3% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.2% |
| Hailey Van Lith (Sun) | 10.6% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 10.5% |
| Aneesah Morrow (Sun) | 10.1% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.0% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 9.9% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 9.4% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 9.2% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.7% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.6% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 8.6% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 8.5% |
| Lexie Brown (Storm) | 8.3% |
| Luisa Geiselsoder (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.7% |
| Stefanie Dolson (Storm) | 7.5% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 7.4% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.3% |
| Monique Billings (Fever) | 6.9% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 6.6% |
| Alanna Smith (Wings) | 6.4% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.0% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 20, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odyssey Sims | Wings | 4.2% | +1300 | 11.3% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 4.0% | +1100 | 12.4% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 2.0% | +700 | 14.5% |
| Emily Engstler | Fire | 1.1% | +1100 | 9.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 0.3% | +1000 | 9.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/20.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, May 20, 2026, Dominique Malonga, Brittney Griner and Brittney Griner lead our first basket projections, while Odyssey Sims shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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