Sun vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [5/20/2026]

The Seattle Storm and Connecticut Sun will meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Storm as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Storm game.

The Storm, who have star players like Natisha Hiedeman, Flau'jae Johnson and Zia Cooke, will face off against the Sun, who feature Raegan Beers, Aneesah Morrow and Saniya Rivers.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Sun and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Storm a 56% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+2.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.

Sun vs. Storm odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sun	Storm
Spread	+2.5 (-106)	-2.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+120	-142
Total	o169.5 (-110)	u169.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Storm picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +2.5	-106
Moneyline	Sun	+120
Total	Under 169.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 169.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Storm player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Sun vs. Storm matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Raegan Beers is expected to lead the Sun with 17 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Natisha Hiedeman is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Storm.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Raegan Beers	17	10	3	0	39
Aneesah Morrow	12	10	1	1	31
Saniya Rivers	9	3	3	1	24
Kennedy Burke	8	3	2	1	20
Hailey Van Lith	8	2	3	1	19

Storm prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	15	3	5	2	30
F. Johnson	14	4	2	1	28
Zia Cooke	9	2	2	1	17
Stefanie Dolson	9	4	3	2	23
Jade Melbourne	9	2	4	1	22

Sun vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Storm and Sun at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Wednesday, May 20, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.