Jul 7, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Alyssa Thomas [7/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Tuesday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 7, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Alyssa Thomas, Valeriane Ayayi and Sabrina Ionescu.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Wings vs. Liberty and Sky vs. Mercury, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop picks for Tuesday, 7/7
Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 7, ranked by probability.
Alyssa Thomas over 7.5 rebounds (+118)
- Edge: 11.3%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Projection: 8.8
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Phoenix' Alyssa Thomas over 7.5 rebounds. A probability of 57.2% gives this play an edge of 11.3% at +118 odds.
Valeriane Ayayi under 5.5 rebounds (-125)
- Edge: 1.5%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Valeriane Ayayi’s rebounds prop shows a 1.5% edge at -125 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.3 rebounds on the under 5.5 line.
Sabrina Ionescu over 4.5 assists (-114)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 56.1%
- Projection: 5.6
- Game: Wings vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Sabrina Ionescu over 4.5 assists, with simulations showing a 56.1% probability and a 2.9% edge at -114.
DeWanna Bonner under 6.5 rebounds (+102)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 55.7%
- Projection: 5.5
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects DeWanna Bonner to record 5.5 rebounds today, creating an edge of 6.2% on the under 6.5 line at +102 odds.
Sabrina Ionescu over 14.5 points scored (-117)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 17.1
- Game: Wings vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Sabrina Ionescu over 14.5 points scored for New York, showing an edge of 1.6% at -117 odds.
Jessica Shepard under 10.5 rebounds (+106)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 54.7%
- Projection: 9.6
- Game: Wings vs. Liberty (8:00PM ET)
Jessica Shepard’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 6.2% at +106 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 9.6 today.
Valeriane Ayayi under 12.5 points scored (-102)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Projection: 10.5
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Valeriane Ayayi for 10.5 points scored for Phoenix, creating an edge of 3.8% on under 12.5 at -102 odds.
Kamilla Cardoso under 15.5 points scored (-102)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 53.2%
- Projection: 14.0
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Kamilla Cardoso for 14.0 points scored, creating value on the under 15.5 line at -102 odds and a 2.7% edge.
DeWanna Bonner under 11.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 0.4%
- Probability: 52.4%
- Projection: 10.4
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 0.4% edge on the under 15.5 points scored line makes DeWanna Bonner a value play in Sky vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 10.4 points scored at -108 odds.
Alyssa Thomas over 15.5 points scored (+100)
- Edge: 1.3%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Projection: 16.1
- Game: Sky vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Simulations project Alyssa Thomas for 16.1 points scored here, creating a 1.3% edge on the over 15.5 line at +100 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:58AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas over 7.5 rebounds | +118 @ FanDuel | 11.3% | 57.2% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | Valeriane Ayayi under 5.5 rebounds | -125 @ ESPN BET | 1.5% | 57.1% |
| Wings vs. Liberty | Sabrina Ionescu over 4.5 assists | -114 @ FanDuel | 6.2% | 55.7% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | DeWanna Bonner under 6.5 rebounds | +102 @ FanDuel | 6.2% | 55.7% |
| Wings vs. Liberty | Sabrina Ionescu over 14.5 points scored | -117 @ DraftKings | 1.6% | 55.5% |
| Wings vs. Liberty | Jessica Shepard under 10.5 rebounds | +106 @ FanDuel | 6.2% | 54.7% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | Valeriane Ayayi under 12.5 points scored | -102 @ FanDuel | 3.8% | 54.3% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | Kamilla Cardoso under 15.5 points scored | -102 @ FanDuel | 2.7% | 53.2% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | DeWanna Bonner under 11.5 points scored | -108 @ FanDuel | 0.4% | 52.4% |
| Sky vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas over 15.5 points scored | +100 @ FanDuel | 1.3% | 51.3% |
Conclusion
For July 7, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Alyssa Thomas, Valeriane Ayayi and Sabrina Ionescu. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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