Best WNBA bets today: Monday's picks include Valkyries vs. Mystics play [7/6/2026]

Valkyries vs. Mystics Over 156.5 points (-104)

• Edge: 15.6%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Matchup: Valkyries vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 156.5 points in Valkyries vs. Mystics at -104 odds. A 66.6% probability produces an edge of 15.6%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

Storm vs. Sparks Under 174.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Storm vs. Sparks under 174.5 points carries a 9.3% edge and a probability of 61.2% at -108 odds, according to our model.

Sun +13.5 (+100)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Matchup: Sun vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET)

Sun +13.5 vs. Lynx at +100 odds shows a 8.1% edge, supported by a 58.1% probability in simulations.

Mystics +5.5 (+100)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Valkyries vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET)

A 6.0% edge and 56% probability makes Mystics +5.5 vs. Valkyries a value play in the Valkyries vs. Mystics matchup, per our model.

Sparks ML (-154)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Sparks ML at -154 odds presents a 3.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 63.8%.

Sun vs. Lynx Under 165.5 points (-102)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Matchup: Sun vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 165.5 points in Sun vs. Lynx at -102 odds, supported by an edge of 2.3%.

Sparks -3.5 (+106)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 50.5%
• Matchup: Storm vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Sparks -3.5 at +106 odds. A 50.5% probability produces a 2.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's WNBA action.

WNBA best bets summary: Monday, 7/6/2026

As of 7:37AM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [7/6/2026]

• Valkyries vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Sun vs. Lynx (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Storm vs. Sparks (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for July 6, 2026, featuring plays such as over 156.5 points in the Valkyries vs. Mystics matchup and under 174.5 points in the Storm vs. Sparks matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.